As you know I teach traders how to try and grow a $2,000 balance.
There are 7 reasons I only sell options while doing this. And they are important. It’s what’s helped me win 28 out of the 30 trades in my current challenge.
Advantage 1: The odds are always in your favor
A three-year study came to three major conclusions:
-
On average, three of every four options held to expiry, expire worthless;
-
The puts and calls that expired worthless played off the primary trend of the underlying;
-
Option sellers still come out ahead even if they go against the trend.
In fact, of put options alone, 82.6% expired worthless.
In some of the studies, up to 96% of puts or calls expire worthless if sold favoring the trend.
This is one of the reasons the $2,000 Small Account Journey has a high win rate.
For example, here’s the current balance.
Results not typical. Trading is hard. Nothing is guaranteed.
This sounds like common sense, but a lot of traders bet against the trend.
When it comes to selling options, the old adage most definitely holds true: The trend is your friend.
Sell options with the trend and you boost your odds the options will expire worthless.
Source: The Complete Guide To Options Selling 3rd Edition by Cordier and Gross
Advantage 2: You don’t have to pick market direction anymore
The hard part of buying options is you must get the direction right and predict when the move will occur.
Predicting where prices will go is like trying to predict the direction of a hurricane.
Smart option sellers bet that the storm will not make a 180-degree turnaround into the wind.
They don’t play the game of guessing where the storm will hit. That’s a low odds game. Guessing where it will not hit is much easier.
-
Short-term trading (day trading) is too difficult.
-
Markets can be sporadic over short-term periods.
-
As a seller of options 1-2 weeks out, day to day market gyration does not concern me.
Advantage 3: Accrued profits can be large
Taking time to learn a strategy and allocating capital likely means you want a bigger payoff.
Most traders don’t know this strategy and that’s fine, but option selling has the horsepower to deliver.
On November 13 I started a fresh $2,000 balance.
It’s at $9,065 now or up 353%.
Results not typical. Trading is hard. Nothing is guaranteed.
My best performance so far is $2,000 into $32,000 in about 4-months before a draw down, at which point I took profits.
And subscribers’ smartphones get every alert before I enter and exit.
My goal is to get one of these $2,000 balances to $100,000.
Advantage 4: Time is on your side
As an option seller, the passage of time is your greatest ally.
As a seller of an option, you are like a football team that plays defense for an entire game.
How much time is on the clock when you start the game is up to you.
You give yourself a predetermined point lead and your opponent so much time to beat you.
For example, give yourself a 50-point lead and give your opponent two quarters to beat you.
Point is. The option buyer works against the market and time. Same as the offense, trailing, has to work against the defense and time left on the clock.
Here’s what that looks like on a recent trade I made. See how the options prices decay inside the same day?
It’s like the buyer is holding a bucket of water with holes in it and the seller is below collecting it.
Advantage 5: Taking profits becomes simple
Most books on trading tell you not to be emotional about your trading. How can you not be emotional about your trading? This is your money that we’re talking about! You’re going to be emotional about it no matter what you tell yourself.
As the seller, the decision of when to take profits generally becomes one that you no longer have to make.
The market makes it for you.
If the option is not in-the-money, the value will deteriorate to zero at expiry.
I teach taking 30% early in the trade or 50% halfway through expiry. It’s that easy.
Advantage 6: Perfect timing is no longer necessary
In a bull trend, sell far beneath the market, allowing for wide price fluctuations.
For this I teach the 10-day EMA, inside bar breakouts, and Keltner Channels.
See how well META trades above the green line? That’s the 10-day EMA.
Even today, the last trading day of 2023, META is still above the 10-day EMA.
Advantage 7: Many methods of risk control
When entering a bull put, like this example on TSLA, I know exactly what I can make or lose.
My risk on this TSLA bull put was $3,870 to try and make $2,130.
I took home $1,248 overnight or 59%.
This is an actual trade I alerted subscribers to recently.
My entry was $3.55 on a $10 wide spread which tells me my probability of profit was ~65%. That means the buyer had ~35% probability of profit.
Stop loss strategy #1 is to get out if the stock breaks below the sold strike of $250.
A more aggressive stop loss strategy, #2, is to exit on a break of the bought strike.
Ever wonder why there are so many insurance commercials on TV?
It’s because they are making billions of dollars a year by selling policies to people like you and me.
What a fantastic business!
And if you have a billionaire uncle, I would suggest you start an insurance company.
Learn how to sell options to other traders.
Insurance companies make calculated odds against people making claims.
Option sellers bet against buyers making profits.
And in the $2,000 Small Account Journey that’s my edge!
This is my most popular service and I think you’ll love it too.
My New Year’s sale is 100 seats at $499 ONE-TIME. Then you recur yearly at $47.
But you better have a look at the sales page now.
Because there’s limited time and limited seats.
So grab a seat now and set some goals for 2024. Mine is to grow one of these $2,000 balances huge.
I want to point out that I cannot speak for my members’ performance, as results may not be typical and trading is HARD. And I cannot guarantee you will make money. But what I can guarantee is that I will work my BUTT OFF to teach you WHY I trade WHAT I trade.
© Copyright 2022, RagingBull
DISCLAIMER: To more fully understand any Ragingbull.com, LLC (“RagingBull”) subscription, website, application or other service (“Services”), please review our full disclaimer located at https://ift.tt/dncP3eh.
FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY; NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. AnyRagingBull Service offered is for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be construed as a securities-related offer or solicitation, or be relied upon as personalized investment advice. RagingBull strongly recommends you consult a licensed or registered professional before making any investment decision.
RESULTS PRESENTED NOT TYPICAL OR VERIFIED. RagingBull Services may contain information regarding the historical trading performance of RagingBull owners or employees, and/or testimonials of non-employees depicting profitability that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons voluntarily providing the testimonial. However, subscribers’ trading results have NOT been tracked or verified and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and the results presented in this communication are NOT TYPICAL. Actual results will vary widely given a variety of factors such as experience, skill, risk mitigation practices, market dynamics and the amount of capital deployed. Investing in securities is speculative and carries a high degree of risk; you may lose some, all, or possibly more than your original investment.
RAGINGBULL IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER. Neither RagingBull nor any of its owners or employees is registered as a securities broker-dealer, broker, investment advisor(IA), or IA representative with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authority, or any self-regulatory organization.
*Sponsored Content: If you purchase anything through a link in this email other than RagingBull services, you should assume that we have an affiliate relationship with the company providing the product or service that you purchase, and that we will be paid in some way. We recommend that you do your own independent research before purchasing anything. We believe in the companies we form affiliate relationships with, but please don’t spend any money on these products or services unless you believe they will help you achieve your goals.
WE MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED. RagingBull has not been paid directly or indirectly by the issuer of any security mentioned in the Services. However, Ragingbull.com, LLC, its owners, and its employees may purchase, sell, or hold long or short positions in securities of the companies mentioned in this communication.
RagingBull.com, LLC shall be entitled to recover attorneys’ fees, costs and disbursements. In the event that any suit or action is instituted as a result of doing business with RagingBull.com, LLC and/or its affiliates or if any suit or action is necessary to enforce or interpret these Terms of Service, RagingBull.com, LLC shall be entitled to recover attorneys’ fees, costs and disbursements in addition to any other relief to which it may be entitled.
from NYSE Updates – My Blog https://ift.tt/Qk8EMh4
via IFTTT
No comments:
Post a Comment