Last chance to grind it out šŸ„Š - Stock Region News

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Thursday, February 1, 2024

Last chance to grind it out šŸ„Š


  

This is what grinding it out looks like šŸ„Š

*Note: Trading is hard, results not guaranteed and should not be expected to be replicated typically.

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Hey Guys & Gals, Jason Bond here. 

In the small world of successful traders, the common denominator is math.

Buying options for profit is like playing slots. 

Gamblers who play enough may hit a jackpot. Despite potential for huge payouts, most players average a loss in the long run. This is due to small losses the majority of the time. 

Traders who buy options are betting on large, directional moves. Those assumptions may be correct and yield significant profits once and a while. But underlying prices stay within their expected ranges most of the time. This results in small, frequent losses and an average loss over time. 

Selling options for profit is like owning the slot machines. Casino owners have a long-run statistical advantage for every game. 

Owners may pay out large jackpots. 

But as long as players stay long enough, owners are compensated for taking on this risk, with nearly guaranteed profit in the long term. 

Similarly, because short options carry tail risk but provide small, consistent profits from implied volatility (IV) overstatement, then they should average a profit in the long run if risk is managed. 

Long premium strategies have a high profit potential but cannot be consistently timed to ensure profit in the long term. 

Similar to the slot machine owner, a short premium trader must reduce the impact of outlier losses to reach a large number of occurrences (trades) and realize the positive longer-term averages. 

The $2,000 Small Account Journey focuses on short premium trades or selling options. I want to be the owner of the slot machines, not the player. 

Take, for example, my current $2,000 balance. 

I’ve placed 51 trades since November 13.  

45 have been wins and 6 have been losses.

My outlier losses are where the player hits the jackpot. 

But because I’ve reached a large number of occurrences (52 trades) I’ve grown the $2,000 to $13,304 or a gain of 565% in a few months (*Results not typical. Trading is hard. Nothing is guaranteed). 

[For my complete spreadsheet of trades, please email Jeff Brown ([email protected]) and he would be happy to get that to you!]

Take for example my trade alert on NVDA yesterday.

My risk is defined at $5,144. 

The way I win 100% or $2,856 is if NVDA is below $640 at 4 PM ET on 2/9. 

As a short premium trader I have 3-ways to win.

NVDA closed Tuesday night at $627.74. 

  1. NVDA can climb $12, but as long as it closes at $639.99 on 2/9 I win 100% or $2,856

  2. NVDA can trade sideways and I win 100%

  3. NVDA can trade lower and I win again

And I can close this trade whenever I want before 2/9. 

Which I did this morning for a 31% $872 win. 

*Note: Trading is hard, results not guaranteed and should not be expected to be replicated typically.

If you want to learn how to trade an edge like a casino, my book recommendation is The Unlucky Investor’s Guide To Options Trading by Julia Spina. 

I do not think you’ll regret joining the $2,000 Small Account Journey…

 Huge Price Hike TOMORROW!  

And I do not think you’ll regret buying the book. In fact, if you join Journey right now, it’s required reading.

Questions or concerns about our products? Email [email protected] © Copyright 2022, RagingBull

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